A few weeks back, there was some buzz in the stock market about Tim Horton's. As you may or may not know, Wendy's (yes, the burger chain) owns Tim Horton's, and yes, the company is not in Canadian hands. If one wanted to invest in Tim Horton's, one had to buy the parent company's stock, Wendy's. There were rumours however that Wendy's was going to spin-off Tim Horton's as its own company and stock. I thought, great, I would invest in Tim Horton's.
Wendy's stock was trading at around $45.50/share, which was a little expensive for me in stocks, so I was too cautious and didn't buy it. I now regret the move. Last week they officially confirmed that they intended to spin-off Tim Horton's as a stock. After the announcement, the Wendy's stock jumped 14% to around $53/share. I'm now kicking myself for not buying!
Here's the announcment they made:
After dishing out a basket of newsworthy developments Friday, Wendy's enjoyed its biggest one-day rally in 16 years, with the stock climbing more than 14% to reach an all-time high. Wendy's decided to unload an 18% chunk of its Tim Horton's coffee-and-doughnuts chain through an IPO within the next few quarters. The company also hinted that there might be a tax-free spinoff of its remaining interest to shareholders.
Given the reaction, some may have mistakenly assumed that Tim Horton's has been a drain on Wendy's resources. Actually, it has been a source of consistent growth and through the first half of the year represented nearly 30% of Wendy's sales and two-thirds of its operating income. Over the last five years, the number of Tim Horton's outlets has swelled to more than 2,700, while same-store sales in doughnut-friendly Canada have jumped 7% annually.
While Wendy's will lose a major growth driver in the Tim Horton's spinoff, the loss will address one frequent complaint -- that Wall Street has long undervalued the fast-growing operation. Furthermore, Tim Horton's should have little trouble funding its growth internally at this point, because last year it generated $247 million in profits on revenues approaching $1 billion.
Gah, why did I doubt the mighty powers of Tim Horton's? To illustrate this lost opportunity, say you bought the stock for $1,000. Today that stock would be worth about $1164 or a bit more (assuming purchase at $45.50/share and sold at $53/share).